Will Trump next nominate Ron Paul as Fed Chair?
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8626
Similarity
0.8902
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump next nominate Ron Paul as Fed Chair?
End Date: Jan 20, 2029 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.017
NO Price:
$0.987
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8902
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
date_far
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedchairnom
Kalshi Milestone ID:
29
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-announce-as-next-fed-chair
Polymarket Event ID:
538296