Will Powell say Tariff at his May 2025 press conference?
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during the May meeting?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8992
Similarity
0.8731
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Powell say Tariff at his May 2025 press conference?
End Date: May 08, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.970
NO Price:
$0.060
Polymarket Event
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during the May meeting?
End Date: May 07, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.985
NO Price:
$0.020
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.9700, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.0200
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8731
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9725
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedmention
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25may
Polymarket Event Slug:
what-will-powell-say-during-may-press-conference
Polymarket Event ID:
528984