Will Powell say Recession at his May 2025 press conference?
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9075
Similarity
0.8822
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Powell say Recession at his May 2025 press conference?
End Date: May 08, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.890
NO Price:
$0.120
Polymarket Event
Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?
End Date: May 07, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.920
NO Price:
$0.110
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8822
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxfedmention
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25may
Polymarket Event Slug:
what-will-powell-say-during-may-press-conference
Polymarket Event ID:
528988