Will Trump impose tariffs in the first 48 hours? – Brazil
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?
Arbitrage Profit
17.92%
Match Score
0.8867
Similarity
0.9327
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump impose tariffs in the first 48 hours? – Brazil
End Date: Jul 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.420
NO Price:
$0.790
Polymarket Event
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?
End Date: Apr 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.058
NO Price:
$0.970
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0580, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.7900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9327
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.729
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.8274
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxforeigntariff
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25jul01
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-countries-will-trump-tariff-in-first-100-days
Polymarket Event ID:
521895