GDP growth in 2025? – 0.0 or below

Negative GDP growth in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9027
Similarity
0.8776

Market Details

Kalshi Market

GDP growth in 2025? – 0.0 or below
End Date: Jan 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.430
NO Price: $0.610
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Negative GDP growth in 2025?
End Date: Jan 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.390
NO Price: $0.620
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8776
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.989
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgdpyear
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: negative-gdp-growth-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 533851