How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8595
Similarity
0.894

Market Details

Kalshi Market

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.170
NO Price: $0.850
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
End Date: N/A
YES Price: $0.110
NO Price: $0.900
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8500

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.894
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgoldcards
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 525558