How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8595
Similarity
0.894

Market Details

Kalshi Market

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.170
NO Price: $0.850
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
End Date: N/A
YES Price: $0.110
NO Price: $0.900
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8500

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.894
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
N/A
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

nan

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgoldcards
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 525558