Locks.bet 🎯
Matched Events
Optimal Allocation
Refresh Data
Back to All Events
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8595
Similarity
0.894
Market Details
Kalshi Market
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 1 to 100
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.170
NO Price:
$0.850
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
End Date: N/A
YES Price:
$0.110
NO Price:
$0.900
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8500
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.110
Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.850
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.894
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
N/A
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
nan
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgoldcards
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
525558