How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 101 to 1,000

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
6.72%
Match Score
0.8524
Similarity
0.8907

Market Details

Kalshi Market

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year? – 101 to 1,000
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.870
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
End Date: N/A
YES Price: $0.067
NO Price: $0.943
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0670, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8700

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8907
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.922
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgoldcards
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 525559