Wil Ras Baraka be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?

Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8859
Similarity
0.8774

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Wil Ras Baraka be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.070
NO Price: $0.950
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
End Date: Jun 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.060
NO Price: $0.960
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8774
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgovnjnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: new-jersey-governor-democratic-primary-winner
Polymarket Event ID: 535386