Wil Josh Gottheimer be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?

Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8818
Similarity
0.8776

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Wil Josh Gottheimer be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.110
NO Price: $0.950
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
End Date: Jun 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.952
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8776
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.969
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgovnjnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: new-jersey-governor-democratic-primary-winner
Polymarket Event ID: 535388