Wil Sean Spiller be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Will Sean Spiller win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8842
Similarity
0.8744
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Wil Sean Spiller be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.980
Polymarket Event
Will Sean Spiller win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
End Date: Jun 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.029
NO Price:
$0.984
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8744
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9925
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgovnjnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-jersey-governor-democratic-primary-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
535390