Wil Stephen Sweeney be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8797
Similarity
0.8731
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Wil Stephen Sweeney be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$0.980
Polymarket Event
Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
End Date: Jun 10, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.060
NO Price:
$0.960
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0300, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8731
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.5973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgovnjnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-jersey-governor-democratic-primary-winner
Polymarket Event ID:
535391