Wil Letitia James be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
0.70%
Match Score
0.8848
Similarity
0.8765
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Wil Letitia James be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
End Date: Nov 03, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.003
NO Price:
$0.998
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0030, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8765
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9775
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6384
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgovnynomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516789