Wil Jumaane Williams be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?

Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8979
Similarity
0.89

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Wil Jumaane Williams be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
End Date: Nov 03, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.030
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.003
NO Price: $0.998
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Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.89
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9925
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6384
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgovnynomd
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID: 516790