Wil Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
10.74%
Match Score
0.8614
Similarity
0.872
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Wil Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
End Date: Nov 03, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.900
Polymarket Event
Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.003
NO Price:
$0.998
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0030, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9000
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.872
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8775
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6384
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgovnynomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516794