Will GPT-5 be released by January 01, 2026? – Revealed
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9454
Similarity
0.9635
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will GPT-5 be released by January 01, 2026? – Revealed
End Date: Jan 02, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.930
NO Price:
$0.110
Polymarket Event
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.922
NO Price:
$0.085
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9635
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.4904
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxgpt5
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26jan01
Polymarket Event Slug:
when-will-gpt-5-be-released
Polymarket Event ID:
517603