Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9939
Similarity
1.0

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.300
NO Price: $0.730
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.270
NO Price: $0.760
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
1.0
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.97
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxgtemp
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: will-2025-be-the-hottest-year-on-record
Polymarket Event ID: 516938