Will a new bird flu vaccine be approved before 2026?
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.9039
Similarity
0.884
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will a new bird flu vaccine be approved before 2026?
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.160
NO Price:
$0.880
Polymarket Event
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.110
NO Price:
$0.920
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8800
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.884
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.955
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxh5vaccine
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
bird-flu-vaccine-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
516942