Will the **high temp in NYC** be <68° on Apr 24, 2025? – 67° or below

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 68°F or below on April 25?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8959
Similarity
0.9062

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <68° on Apr 24, 2025? – 67° or below
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.010
NO Price: $1.000
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 68°F or below on April 25?
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.098
NO Price: $0.990
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9062
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.956
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

range_penalty=0.025

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25apr24
Polymarket Event Slug: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-25
Polymarket Event ID: 539167