Will the **high temp in NYC** be <73° on Apr 25, 2025? – 72° or below
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 71-72°F on April 25?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8937
Similarity
0.9065
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <73° on Apr 25, 2025? – 72° or below
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.030
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 71-72°F on April 25?
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.140
NO Price:
$0.950
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0300, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9065
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr25
Polymarket Event Slug:
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-25
Polymarket Event ID:
539169