Will the **high temp in NYC** be 73-74° on Apr 25, 2025? – 73° to 74°

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 73-74°F on April 25?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.9101
Similarity
0.9083

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the **high temp in NYC** be 73-74° on Apr 25, 2025? – 73° to 74°
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.890
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 73-74°F on April 25?
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.290
NO Price: $0.820
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.1500, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.8200

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9083
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.895
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25apr25
Polymarket Event Slug: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-25
Polymarket Event ID: 539170