Will the **high temp in NYC** be >80° on Apr 25, 2025? – 81° or above
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 79°F or higher on April 25?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8898
Similarity
0.9066
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the **high temp in NYC** be >80° on Apr 25, 2025? – 81° or above
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.960
Polymarket Event
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 79°F or higher on April 25?
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.230
NO Price:
$0.960
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9066
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.925
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr25
Polymarket Event Slug:
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-25
Polymarket Event ID:
539173