Will the **high temp in NYC** be <68° on Apr 24, 2025? – 67° or below
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 68°F or below on April 26?
Arbitrage Profit
3.09%
Match Score
0.8547
Similarity
0.9078
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the **high temp in NYC** be <68° on Apr 24, 2025? – 67° or below
End Date: Apr 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 68°F or below on April 26?
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.490
NO Price:
$0.960
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9078
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.745
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr24
Polymarket Event Slug:
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-26
Polymarket Event ID:
539407