Will the **high temp in NYC** be 77-78° on Apr 25, 2025? – 77° to 78°
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 69-70°F on April 26?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.8742
Similarity
0.9055
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 77-78° on Apr 25, 2025? – 77° to 78°
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.340
NO Price:
$0.710
Polymarket Event
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 69-70°F on April 26?
End Date: Apr 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.500
NO Price:
$0.920
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9055
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.050
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxhighny
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25apr25
Polymarket Event Slug:
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-april-26
Polymarket Event ID:
539408