Will there be more than 15 Atlantic hurricanes in 2025?
Will more than 23 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8687
Similarity
0.8652
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will there be more than 15 Atlantic hurricanes in 2025?
End Date: Dec 02, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.070
NO Price:
$0.950
Polymarket Event
Will more than 23 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
End Date: Dec 01, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.090
NO Price:
$0.920
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0700, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9200
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8652
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
range_penalty=0.025
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxhurctot
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25dec01
Polymarket Event Slug:
how-many-named-storms-during-atlantic-hurricane-season-773
Polymarket Event ID:
534995