Will Trump become President and impose large tariffs in his first year? – In 2025
Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9183
Similarity
0.9141
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump become President and impose large tariffs in his first year? – In 2025
End Date: Mar 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.800
NO Price:
$0.210
Polymarket Event
Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.890
NO Price:
$0.250
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9141
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.7534
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxlargetariff
Kalshi Milestone ID:
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-trump-impose-large-tariffs-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
535962