Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence
Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?
Arbitrage Profit
13.77%
Match Score
0.8577
Similarity
0.8909
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.870
Polymarket Event
Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trump's first 100 days?
End Date: Apr 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.009
NO Price:
$0.996
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0090, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8909
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8665
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3233
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-trump-fire-in-first-100-days
Polymarket Event ID:
523604