Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of the Environmental Protection Agency

Will Lee Zeldin be out as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency in Trump's first 100 days?
Arbitrage Profit
10.01%
Match Score
0.8512
Similarity
0.877

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of the Environmental Protection Agency
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.140
NO Price: $0.900
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Lee Zeldin be out as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency in Trump's first 100 days?
End Date: Apr 29, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.009
NO Price: $0.996
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0090, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9000

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.877
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8865
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.3233
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-trump-fire-in-first-100-days
Polymarket Event ID: 523605