Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.17%
Match Score
0.8837
Similarity
0.8598

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.150
NO Price: $0.870
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.090
NO Price: $0.920
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0900, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8700

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8598
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.945
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID: 26
Polymarket Event Slug: who-will-leave-trump-administration-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 531360