Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
14.16%
Match Score
0.8741
Similarity
0.8685
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Director of National Intelligence
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.150
NO Price:
$0.870
Polymarket Event
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.006
NO Price:
$0.997
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0060, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8685
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8645
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535730