Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Secretary of State
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
14.68%
Match Score
0.8725
Similarity
0.8709
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: Secretary of State
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.180
NO Price:
$0.850
Polymarket Event
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.022
NO Price:
$0.997
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0220, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8709
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8475
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535734