Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: White House Press Secretary
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Arbitrage Profit
16.01%
Match Score
0.8881
Similarity
0.8919
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump Administration this year? – :: White House Press Secretary
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.170
NO Price:
$0.850
Polymarket Event
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.012
NO Price:
$0.999
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0120, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8919
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.8465
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxleaveadmin
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-leave-trump-administration-first
Polymarket Event ID:
535738