Will Andrew Cuomo be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
1.01%
Match Score
0.8772
Similarity
0.8659
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Andrew Cuomo be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.830
NO Price:
$0.180
Polymarket Event
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.850
NO Price:
$0.160
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.8300, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.1600
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8659
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.98
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516785