Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
0.91%
Match Score
0.8763
Similarity
0.8651
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.050
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.021
NO Price:
$0.984
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0210, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8651
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9785
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516791