Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
1.32%
Match Score
0.8755
Similarity
0.8654
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.140
NO Price:
$0.880
Polymarket Event
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.107
NO Price:
$0.900
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1070, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8800
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8654
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9735
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516792