Will Adrienne Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8816
Similarity
0.8733
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Adrienne Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
End Date: Jun 24, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$0.992
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8733
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.974
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.6356
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
who-will-win-dem-nomination-for-nyc-mayor
Polymarket Event ID:
516797