Will Eric Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.63%
Match Score
0.9073
Similarity
0.8821
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Eric Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.010
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.037
NO Price:
$0.974
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0100, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9740
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8821
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9785
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-york-city-mayoral-election
Polymarket Event ID:
538928