Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.9079
Similarity
0.8879
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Zohran Mamdani be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.140
NO Price:
$0.880
Polymarket Event
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.100
NO Price:
$0.920
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.1000, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.8800
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8879
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-york-city-mayoral-election
Polymarket Event ID:
538932