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Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.11%
Match Score
0.9122
Similarity
0.8891
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.050
NO Price:
$0.970
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.019
NO Price:
$0.985
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0190, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.019
Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.970
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8891
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.977
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-york-city-mayoral-election
Polymarket Event ID:
538935