Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.11%
Match Score
0.9122
Similarity
0.8891

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Brad Lander be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.970
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.019
NO Price: $0.985
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0190, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8891
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.977
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: new-york-city-mayoral-election
Polymarket Event ID: 538935