Will Adrienne Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Arbitrage Profit
1.63%
Match Score
0.9108
Similarity
0.8878
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Adrienne Adams be the nominee for the NYC Mayorship for the Democratic party in 2025?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
End Date: Nov 04, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.014
NO Price:
$0.994
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0140, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8878
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.975
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmayornycnomd
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-york-city-mayoral-election
Polymarket Event ID:
538937