Will Trump propose reducing military spending? – For fiscal year 2026
Will Trump cut military spending?
Arbitrage Profit
2.56%
Match Score
0.8807
Similarity
0.8513
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Trump propose reducing military spending? – For fiscal year 2026
End Date: Jan 01, 2026 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.080
NO Price:
$0.940
Polymarket Event
Will Trump cut military spending?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.035
NO Price:
$0.972
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0350, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9400
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8513
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9615
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9973
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxmilspend
Kalshi Milestone ID:
26
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-trump-cut-military-spending
Polymarket Event ID:
518713