Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
2.04%
Match Score
0.8848
Similarity
0.9237

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
End Date: Jan 01, 2030 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.110
NO Price: $0.900
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.080
NO Price: $0.950
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0800, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9000

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.9237
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.96
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.0
How similar the end dates are

Flags & Notes

date_far

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxmusktrillion
Kalshi Milestone ID: 27
Polymarket Event Slug: elon-musk-trillionaire-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 517834