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Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Finals?

Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Arbitrage Profit
1.52%
Match Score
0.8818
Similarity
0.8542

Market Details

Kalshi Market

Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Finals?
End Date: Jun 30, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price: $0.060
NO Price: $0.960
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
End Date: Jun 05, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.079
NO Price: $0.925
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0600, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9250
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.060 Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.925

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8542
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.973
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9315
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxnba
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: nba-western-conference-champion
Polymarket Event ID: 508816