New pandemic by 2025? – By Dec 31, 2025

New pandemic in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
4.06%
Match Score
0.9028
Similarity
0.8841

Market Details

Kalshi Market

New pandemic by 2025? – By Dec 31, 2025
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price: $0.050
NO Price: $0.970
View on Kalshi

Polymarket Event

New pandemic in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price: $0.093
NO Price: $0.911
View on Polymarket

Arbitrage Strategy

Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0500, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9110

Match Analysis

Embedding Similarity
0.8841
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.949
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are

Event Identifiers

Kalshi Event Slug: kxnewoutbreakpcovid
Kalshi Milestone ID: 25
Polymarket Event Slug: new-pandemic-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID: 516910