Locks.bet 🎯
Matched Events
Optimal Allocation
Refresh Data
Back to All Events
New pandemic by 2025? – By Dec 31, 2025
New pandemic in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
2.99%
Match Score
0.9028
Similarity
0.8841
Market Details
Kalshi Market
New pandemic by 2025? – By Dec 31, 2025
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.060
NO Price:
$0.980
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
New pandemic in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.093
NO Price:
$0.911
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.0600, Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.9110
Buy YES on Kalshi @ $0.060
Buy NO on Polymarket @ $0.911
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8841
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.949
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxnewoutbreakpmpox
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
new-pandemic-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
516910