Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? – Elon Musk
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Arbitrage Profit
1.52%
Match Score
0.8926
Similarity
0.863
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? – Elon Musk
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 03:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.040
NO Price:
$0.970
Polymarket Event
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
End Date: Dec 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.015
NO Price:
$0.991
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0150, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9700
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.863
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.977
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxnobelpeace
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-elon-musk-win-nobel-peace-prize-in-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
520928