Locks.bet 🎯
Matched Events
Optimal Allocation
Refresh Data
Back to All Events
Will Pierre Poilievre lose their seat? – In 2025
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9378
Similarity
0.9199
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Pierre Poilievre lose their seat? – In 2025
End Date: May 01, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.160
NO Price:
$0.870
View on Kalshi
Polymarket Event
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
End Date: Apr 28, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.169
NO Price:
$0.862
View on Polymarket
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9199
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9915
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
0.9918
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxpoilievreseat
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
will-pierre-poilievre-lose-his-seat
Polymarket Event ID:
530496