Will Socialist Party win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9274
Similarity
0.9058
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Socialist Party win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.300
NO Price:
$0.750
Polymarket Event
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.290
NO Price:
$0.720
Arbitrage Strategy
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9058
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.99
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Flags & Notes
nan
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxportugalparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-portugal-election-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
528682