Will LIVRE win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Arbitrage Profit
N/A
Match Score
0.9426
Similarity
0.9255
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will LIVRE win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.020
NO Price:
$1.000
Polymarket Event
Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.003
NO Price:
$0.998
Arbitrage Strategy
No arbitrage opportunity available at current prices.
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9255
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9925
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxportugalparty
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-portugal-election-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
528688