Will Chega win the second-most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Arbitrage Profit
0.20%
Match Score
0.9260
Similarity
0.9075
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will Chega win the second-most seats in the Portuguese general election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.050
NO Price:
$0.990
Polymarket Event
Will CHEGA win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.008
NO Price:
$0.994
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0080, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9900
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.9075
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.977
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxportugalsecond
Kalshi Milestone ID:
25
Polymarket Event Slug:
which-party-wins-most-seats-in-portugal-election-2025
Polymarket Event ID:
528684