Will SÅ‚awomir Mentzen win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Will SÅ‚awomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Arbitrage Profit
0.10%
Match Score
0.8814
Similarity
0.8505
Market Details
Kalshi Market
Will SÅ‚awomir Mentzen win the 2025 Polish presidential election?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.110
NO Price:
$0.950
Polymarket Event
Will SÅ‚awomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
End Date: May 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM
YES Price:
$0.049
NO Price:
$0.954
Arbitrage Strategy
Buy YES on Polymarket @ $0.0490, Buy NO on Kalshi @ $0.9500
Match Analysis
Embedding Similarity
0.8505
How similar the event titles are
Odds Similarity
0.9675
How similar the probability estimates are
Date Similarity
1.0
How similar the end dates are
Event Identifiers
Kalshi Event Slug:
kxprespoland
Kalshi Milestone ID:
sm
Polymarket Event Slug:
poland-presidential-election
Polymarket Event ID:
514141